In the aftermath of the 2020 election, Joe Biden emerged as the victor with substantial support from Black and Hispanic voters. These demographics played a pivotal role in his electoral success, and retaining their loyalty is crucial if he hopes to secure a second term in 2024.
In the 2020 election, Biden secured approximately 70% of the combined Black and Hispanic vote. Let’s break down the numbers:
- Black voters: 92% voted in favor of Biden, with only 8% supporting Trump.
- Hispanic voters: Biden garnered 59% of their votes, while Trump secured 38%.
However, the 2024 landscape appears less favorable for the current president. Recent analyses, including a comprehensive study by The New York Times that examined a collection of polls spanning the past year, have revealed a noticeable decline in support for Biden among these critical demographics.
On average, Biden’s support has dwindled to a mere 53% among Black and Hispanic voters. What’s concerning is that this decline is not limited to specific age groups, genders, or education levels. It’s a widespread trend across the board.
Taking a step back, the analysis further reveals that a significant 5% of former Biden supporters have shifted allegiance and now identify as Trump supporters.
If these poll trends persist, they could spell insurmountable challenges for Biden’s re-election bid in 2024. In response, it wouldn’t be surprising to witness Democrats resorting to tactics reminiscent of the 2020 George Floyd riots to mobilize their voter base. This could involve the generation of racial controversies aimed at driving voter turnout. Such strategies have proven effective in the past, and it seems likely that they will be employed once again to rally support for Biden in the upcoming election.